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Total Victory at the Track; The Promise and the Performance, by William L. Scott
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Book by Scott, William L.
- Sales Rank: #1827975 in Books
- Brand: Brand: Amicus Pr
- Published on: 1988-04
- Ingredients: Example Ingredients
- Original language: English
- Number of items: 1
- Binding: Hardcover
- 288 pages
- Used Book in Good Condition
From Library Journal
Showing how to compute performance class ratings, compare class levels at different tracks, evaluate track bias, and blend ability and performance with current form to produce a mathematical evaluation of each horse, Scott has developed an intricate system to help amateur handicappers select a winning horse. He has also simplified his system of ability times created for his previous book, Investing at the Racetrack , and integrated it into this new method, which he claims wins 50 percent or more of playable races. Recommended for libraries catering to the betting crowd. Susan Hamburger, Florida State Univ. Lib., Tallahassee
Copyright 1988 Reed Business Information, Inc.
Most helpful customer reviews
1 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
Five Stars
By E. Brown
Best book on horseracing yet
2 of 4 people found the following review helpful.
Solid handicapping marred by glaring errors
By Robert Beveridge
William L. Scott, Total Victory at the Track (Amicus, 1988)
The late Scott concludes his handicapping trilogy with Total Victory at the Track, a book that both builds on his two earlier works (Investing at the Racetrack and How Will Your Horse Run Today?) and introduces another concept that ties them together. While Scott's work isn't bad, and the foundations upon which it lays are solid enough, there are some blunders in here that a novice wouldn't make. Whether to blame Scott or his editors is an arguable point, but the effect is the same; a novice coming into this book is going to pick up some bad information indirectly. My advice: buy this book if you're experienced enough at horseplaying to know how to read the Daily Racing Form's past performances and result charts, and be on the lookout for the errors. They are everywhere.
That said, the methods outlined here are certainly solid ones, as the workout in the back of the book shows (I'm doing my own testing on it, since these things seem to change on an almost daily basis in the horse biz), and while Scott isn't promising rose gardens, nor enough money to buy the land and plant the roses, it would seem that what he offers is at least enough to turn losers into break-even types or winners, if they're willing to do a little work to get there. It just seems that the path might be a little easier to follow without the glaring Daily Racing Form-related errors that pepper the text. ** 1/2
5 of 9 people found the following review helpful.
Total Confusion
By A Customer
This book, the third in the Scott "Investing at the Track" trilogy, is the flimsiest yet. One, it abandons much of the safe, statistically-backed theory of the first two books in favor of newer ideas that are only supported by a few hundred race samples, and are curiously not shown to be more effective based on the ORIGINAL race samples (which might be more convincing). Two, it tempts the reader to venture into much riskier plays than ever before (where admittedly, more profits can be made, but at greater risk and greater uncertainty). And three, it is rife with "judgment calls" in all facets of the computation of performance class ratings, running lines, etc. And, once you start asking the handicapper to lump almost ALL past performances into the formula, without regard to the PPs' track conditions or even surface in most cases...it's hard to make such a leap of faith.
The beauty of the original Scott system was its simplicity. This new method is a morass of "add this, subtract that, divide that but only when there's a full moon..." It also adds to the bookkeeping necessary to make it work while you're actually at the track. All the calculations and comparisons can't easily be done in the Racing Form, rather a notebook and calculator are necessary for close scrutiny of all the numbers for each rated beast.
It's very hard to get a grip on the calculations, let alone the new selection criteria.
Still, there is a bright side: in some preliminary testing against some recent races that were also handicapped using the old method, the new method seemed to do better. It took a day's racing with the old method that featured a disaster at one track and a reasonable profit at another, and turned in windfalls at both, using the new method.
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